Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.289880 3.682636 4.108065 4.603837 5.166612 5.786619 6.522819
2024-10-13 2.707394 3.225343 3.826092 4.577051 5.494384 6.583193 7.980392
2024-10-20 2.317851 2.894396 3.598808 4.528226 5.730345 7.243565 9.309765
2024-10-27 1.954145 2.532114 3.267836 4.281245 5.653638 7.465644 10.069205
2024-11-03 1.768208 2.367050 3.157515 4.288925 5.885748 8.087281 11.401619
2024-11-10 1.651942 2.277256 3.130190 4.394429 6.247622 8.906818 13.088147
2024-11-17 1.531413 2.166588 3.058554 4.422548 6.491218 9.568957 14.604339
2024-11-24 1.427859 2.068480 2.992378 4.446377 6.722205 10.224263 16.171463
2024-12-01 1.336590 1.978986 2.928536 4.463346 6.937519 10.867413 17.780911
2024-12-08 1.227650 1.853110 2.798029 4.362124 6.950936 11.181968 18.867168
2024-12-15 1.150111 1.768788 2.723455 4.340740 7.087646 11.704905 20.361475
2024-12-22 1.075469 1.682920 2.638909 4.293905 7.173875 12.144770 21.748737
2024-12-29 1.052204 1.679296 2.688605 4.479789 7.684946 13.389218 24.802413
2025-01-05 0.993163 1.612516 2.629095 4.472855 7.854199 14.037539 26.801054
2025-01-12 0.933232 1.539669 2.553451 4.430062 7.952332 14.561026 28.613824
2025-01-19 0.845411 1.413147 2.376570 4.190126 7.659718 14.309584 28.803964
2025-01-26 0.805771 1.367342 2.336938 4.197919 7.838222 14.990765 31.039844
2025-02-02 0.783910 1.351139 2.348222 4.301024 8.210602 16.095049 34.336501
2025-02-09 0.752471 1.315481 2.321468 4.328502 8.433269 16.912986 37.097562
2025-02-16 0.722749 1.280884 2.294008 4.351777 8.648362 17.735080 39.976019
2025-02-23 0.694250 1.246623 2.264620 4.368348 8.849981 18.547088 42.938676
2025-03-02 0.653279 1.186347 2.181681 4.269503 8.795270 18.784335 44.516577
2025-03-09 0.624753 1.147976 2.138371 4.248621 8.907516 19.408499 47.152887